A Statistical Dispatch from the Departed · Baseball, 2026
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Issue No. 9 April 6, 2026 Distributed Free to Friends & Family

The Mets Alumni All-Stars: -3.7 WAR and a First-Round Pick Who Became Someone Else’s MVP Candidate

If you assembled a team from every player the Mets traded away or let walk in the last five years, would it beat the actual 2026 Mets? The answer is uncomfortably close. Pete Crow-Armstrong alone is worth more than everything the Mets got for him — times five.
By The Sports Page · April 5, 2026 · All WAR figures from 2025 season
-3.7
Net WAR Lost in Trades/Departures
5.4
PCA’s 2025 WAR (Traded for a Rental)
$115M
PCA’s Extension (With the Cubs)

Over the past five years, the Mets have traded away or lost to free agency a remarkable collection of talent: an All-Star center fielder, a four-time All-Star first baseman, a franchise closer, two future Hall of Fame pitchers, and a handful of top prospects. What did they get back? A mixed bag — some excellent returns (Freddy Peralta, Devin Williams), some adequate swaps (Semien for Nimmo), and one trade that will haunt the franchise for a decade.

That trade is Pete Crow-Armstrong. In July 2021, the Mets sent their 2020 first-round pick to the Cubs for Javier Baez — a two-month rental who left as a free agent and has been terrible in Detroit ever since. Crow-Armstrong, meanwhile, became an All-Star, won a Gold Glove, joined the 30-30 club with 31 homers and 35 steals, finished top-10 in NL MVP voting, and just signed a six-year, $115 million extension with Chicago. The Mets traded a franchise cornerstone for 47 games of a shortstop they didn’t re-sign.

The Mets Alumni vs. What They Got Back

PlayerHow LeftDestination2025 WARStatus
Pete Crow-ArmstrongTraded for Baez (’21)Cubs5.4All-Star, Gold Glove, $115M ext
Pete AlonsoFree agent (’25)Orioles3.2$155M/5yr
Brandon NimmoTraded for Semien (’25)Rangers2.8Career-high 25 HR
Edwin DiazFree agent (’25)Dodgers1.5$69M/3yr
Max ScherzerTraded deadline (’23)Rangers0.5Aging legend
Justin VerlanderTraded deadline (’23)Astros0.3Returned to Houston
Jett WilliamsTraded for Peralta (’26)BrewersTop prospect, .333 spring
Brandon SproatTraded for Peralta (’26)BrewersOpening Day rotation
Luisangel AcunaTraded for Robert Jr (’26)White Sox0.595 games in 2025
Alumni Total14.2
What the Mets Got Back
Javier Baez (for PCA)2-month rentalLeft for Detroit-0.5Terrible with DET
Marcus Semien (for Nimmo)Trade2B, 2026 Mets2.0Gold Glove, aging bat
Luis Robert Jr (for Acuna)TradeCF, 2026 Mets1.5Walk-off HR Opening Day
Freddy Peralta (for Williams+Sproat)TradeSP, 2026 Mets3.0All-Star arm
Drew Gilbert (for Verlander)TradeOF prospectStill in system
Ryan Clifford (for Verlander)TradeOF prospectStill in system
Jorge Polanco (replaced Alonso)FA signing1B, 2026 Mets2.5$20M/yr vs $31M
Devin Williams (replaced Diaz)FA signingCL, 2026 Mets2.0Elite closer
Return Total10.5
Net Balance: -3.7 WAR

“The Mets didn’t lose Pete Crow-Armstrong. They traded him for 47 games of a shortstop who signed with Detroit and hit .230. That’s not a trade. That’s a donation.”

— The Sports Page

The Crow-Armstrong Catastrophe: A Cost-Benefit Analysis

What the Mets received for PCA: Javier Baez: 47 games, ~0.8 WAR with NYM Then signed with Detroit: 6yr/$140M Baez with Detroit: .230 avg, negative WAR seasons What PCA became: 2025: .247/.287/.481, 31 HR, 35 SB, 5.4 WAR All-Star, Gold Glove, 30-30 club Extension: 6yr/$115M (Mar 2026) Cost per season of WAR lost: PCA projected WAR over 6-year extension: ~4.5/yr Baez rental WAR: 0.8 (one-time) Net annual loss: -3.7 WAR/yr Over 6 years: ~-22 WAR Market value of 1 WAR: ~$8-9M 22 lost WAR × $8.5M = ~$187M in value For a 2-month rental worth ~$7M Return on investment: -96%

The Fantasy Roster: 2026 Mets If They Kept Everyone

C: Francisco Alvarez (kept) 1B: Pete Alonso (let go → Orioles) 2B: Marcus Semien (acquired for Nimmo) SS: Francisco Lindor (kept) 3B: Bo Bichette (signed free agent) LF: Brandon Nimmo (traded → Rangers) CF: Pete Crow-Armstrong (traded → Cubs) RF: Juan Soto (signed free agent) DH: Mark Vientos (kept) SP1: Kodai Senga (kept) SP2: Freddy Peralta (traded for) SP3: David Peterson (kept) CL: Edwin Diaz (let go → Dodgers) Combined projected WAR of this lineup: ~45+ That’s a 100-win team on paper. The Mets’ problem isn’t talent identification. It’s talent retention.

Historical Parallels

The Nolan Ryan Trade, 1971
324
Ryan’s career wins after leaving the Mets

The Mets traded Nolan Ryan to the Angels for Jim Fregosi after the 1971 season. Ryan went on to win 324 games, throw 7 no-hitters, and make the Hall of Fame. Fregosi hit .232 in 146 games as a Met. It’s considered the worst trade in baseball history — and the PCA trade is tracking to be its modern echo. The Mets have a type: they trade generational talent for short-term fixes that don’t fix anything.

History repeats. The Mets are the history.
The 2025 Collapse — When Keeping Talent Wasn’t Enough
45-24
Record when the 2025 Mets had everyone

Here’s the counterargument: the 2025 Mets had Alonso, Nimmo, Diaz, and a loaded roster. They started 45-24, the best record in baseball, with a 96.2% playoff probability. Then they went 38-55 and missed the postseason entirely. Having the talent wasn’t enough. The trades and departures that followed weren’t just about saving money — they were about admitting that this group, as constructed, couldn’t finish what it started.

Both things are true: they lost too much AND needed a reset

“Every front office makes trades it regrets. The Mets make trades that become other franchises’ origin stories. Pete Crow-Armstrong isn’t just a loss. He’s the Cubs’ next Ernie Banks. And the Mets got 47 games of Javier Baez for him.”

— The Sports Page

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© 2026 The Sports Page · A Statistical Dispatch for Friends & Family